Industrial Development
Senior 6 · Economics
Industrial Development
Lesson 1 of 4
25 min
NISR's accounts for 2025 show Rwanda's industry growing by 11%. Inside that figure the branches moved very differently: mining and quarrying grew by 17% and construction by 11%; in manufacturing, which grew by 10%, non-metallic minerals (mainly cement) rose by 35%, chemicals and plastics by 24%, metal products by 21% and food processing by 9%, while textiles fell by 1% (NISR, GDP National Accounts 2025, p. 3).
Think: why might a construction boom make cement and metal products grow fastest? And why is it harder for Rwanda to grow a textile industry than a cement industry?
Definition
Industry: the sector that transforms materials into goods. In national accounts it covers mining and quarrying, manufacturing, construction, and electricity, gas and water supply.
Manufacturing: turning raw materials or components into finished goods, by hand or by machine; for example milling maize, brewing, making cement or assembling phones.
Definition
Industrial development (industrialisation): a sustained rise in industry's output, productivity and share of the economy, as resources move into manufacturing and related activities and production becomes more capital- and technology-intensive.
Structural transformation: the shift of output and workers from low-productivity farming into higher-productivity industry and services.
| Basis | Types | Rwandan example |
|---|---|---|
| Stage of production | Extractive (mining, quarrying); manufacturing; construction | Tin and tungsten mining; cement manufacture; housing and roads |
| Weight of product and capital | Light industry (consumer goods); heavy industry (capital goods, bulky materials) | Soap, juices and garments; cement and steel bars |
| Raw material | Agro-based (processing farm output); mineral-based; forest-based | Tea and coffee processing, dairies; cement; furniture |
| Scale | Cottage, small-scale, large-scale (lesson 3) | Basket weaving; a carpentry workshop; a brewery |
| Market | Import-substituting; export-oriented (lesson 4) | Local cement replacing imports; coffee and tea for export |
Between 2000 and 2025 agriculture's share fell by about 11 percentage points, while industry's share rose from 16.8% to 22.0%. Within industry, though, manufacturing stayed at about 7–10% of GDP (9.6% in 2000, 8.3% in 2025, World Bank); most of industry's rise came from construction, mining and utilities. Manufacturing employed only 5.6% of employed people in 2025, against 8.9% in construction (NISR, Labour Force Survey Annual Report 2025, section 4.5).
Worked example 1: which sector drove growth?
In 2025 Rwanda's GDP grew by 9.4%. Agriculture (20% of GDP) grew by 7%, industry (22%) by 11% and services (52%) by 9% (NISR). A sector's contribution to growth is approximately its share times its growth rate:
Together these give points of the 9.4%; taxes on products make up most of the rest. Industry grew fastest, but services, being much larger, contributed most. (Strictly, the previous year's shares should be used, so the figures are approximate.)
Worked example 2: how fast does structure change?
NST2 expects manufacturing to grow by 10.4% a year and GDP by 9.3% (MINECOFIN, NST2, p. 9). If manufacturing is 8.3% of GDP today, what share would it reach after 5 years?
Even fast manufacturing growth raises its share only slowly when the rest of the economy also grows fast. A big change in structure needs manufacturing to grow much faster than GDP for many years, as it did in East Asia.

Warning
"Industry" is wider than "manufacturing". Rwanda's industry share rose mainly because of construction and mining. Don't use the rise in industry's share as evidence that manufacturing has taken off: check manufacturing's own share (about 8% of GDP) and employment (5.6%).
Tip
Learn the advantages as "PJ-LVF-TRI": Productivity, Jobs, Linkages, Value addition, Foreign exchange, Technology, Revenue, Infrastructure. For each one, have a cost ready that "balances" it in an evaluation.
Important
Discuss. Rwanda's industrial growth in 2025 was led by cement, metal products and construction. Is growth based on a construction boom a sound foundation for industrialisation, or a risk? What would make it last?
Practice
Sources and credits
Written by Ganzaa: the text, the chart, the tables, the worked examples and the practice items. The figures in the practice items are illustrative.