Production Theory
Senior 4 · Economics
Production Theory
Lesson 3 of 5
30 min
Rwanda's fifth population census counted 13,246,394 people in August 2022, after growth of 2.3% a year since 2012 (NISR). The country's land did not grow at all. In 1798 Thomas Malthus warned that when more and more labour works a fixed area of land, each extra worker adds less food than the one before, so food could not keep up with population.
Malthus's fear rested on a real law of production, the law of diminishing returns. His forecast was wrong for most of the world because farmers also changed what they worked with: better seed, fertiliser, terraces and irrigation. This lesson separates the two ideas: what happens when only one input grows (the short run), and why that is not the whole story.

Definition
Production function: the relationship between the quantities of inputs a firm uses and the maximum output it can produce with a given technology:
where is output, labour, capital, land and entrepreneurship.
Fixed factor: an input whose quantity cannot be changed in the period studied (the plot of land, the factory building). Variable factor: one that can (workers, seed, fuel).
Example: a cooperative with 2 hectares that can hire more pickers this season but cannot buy more land has land fixed and labour variable.
| Period | What can change | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Market period (very short run) | Nothing: output is what has already been produced | Tomatoes already at the market this morning |
| Short run | Variable factors only; at least one factor is fixed | A bakery hires another worker but keeps the same oven |
| Long run | All factors, including plant size and land | The bakery moves to a bigger building with three ovens |
| Very long run | Technology itself | A new kind of oven halves baking time |
These periods are not fixed lengths of time. A moto rider can double his "plant" in a week by buying a second motorcycle; a cement factory may need five years. The short run is simply the time in which at least one input cannot be changed.
Definition
Total product (TP): the whole output produced with a given quantity of the variable factor.
Average product (AP): output per unit of the variable factor, .
Marginal product (MP): the change in total product from one more unit of the variable factor, , or for one extra worker.
Example: if 4 workers harvest 176 bags and 5 workers harvest 250 bags, then bags and bags.
A cooperative farms a fixed 5-hectare plot of maize and varies only the number of workers. Its total product follows (bags per season, illustrative).
| Workers, L | Total product, TP (bags) | Marginal product, | Average product, |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | – | – |
| 1 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 2 | 52 | 38 | 26 |
| 3 | 108 | 56 | 36 |
| 4 | 176 | 68 | 44 |
| 5 | 250 | 74 | 50 |
| 6 | 324 | 74 | 54 |
| 7 | 392 | 68 | 56 |
| 8 | 448 | 56 | 56 |
| 9 | 486 | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | 500 | 14 | 50 |
| 11 | 484 | −16 | 44 |
Reading the graphs. The marginal products in the table belong to the step from one worker to the next, so they are plotted at the middle of each step; they lie almost exactly on the smooth MP curve. Notice:
Worked example 1: reading a product schedule
A tea estate varies the number of pluckers on a fixed block. Daily output (kg of green leaf, illustrative):
| Pluckers | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TP | 20 | 50 | 90 | 120 | 140 | 150 | 150 | 140 |
| MP | 20 | 30 | 40 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 0 | −10 |
| AP | 20 | 25 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 25 | 21.4 | 17.5 |
(a) Diminishing marginal returns set in with the 4th plucker: MP falls from 40 to 30.
(b) Maximum AP is 30 kg, with 3 or 4 pluckers; there MP (40, then 30) passes through AP.
(c) Maximum TP is 150 kg, reached with 6 pluckers; the 7th adds nothing (MP = 0) and the 8th reduces output (MP = −10): negative returns.
(d) Advice: the estate should employ between 4 and 6 pluckers (stage II). Exactly where depends on wages and the price of tea, which unit 7 adds.
The law (the law of variable proportions): if more and more units of a variable factor are added to a fixed quantity of another factor, with technology unchanged, the marginal product of the variable factor will eventually fall.
Assumptions. At least one factor is fixed (it is a short-run law); the units of the variable factor are identical; technology and methods are unchanged; and the factors can be combined in varying proportions.
Why it happens. At first the fixed factor is under-used, so extra workers allow specialisation and MP rises. Beyond a point, each worker has less of the fixed factor to work with: less land, less machine time, more crowding. The fixed factor becomes the bottleneck.
| Stage | Range | What happens | Should a firm produce here? |
|---|---|---|---|
| I: increasing returns to the variable factor | From 0 to maximum AP (7.5 workers) | AP rises; MP above AP; fixed factor under-used | No: each extra worker raises output per worker, so it pays to add more |
| II: diminishing returns | From maximum AP to maximum TP (7.5 to 10 workers) | AP and MP both fall; MP still positive | Yes: the rational stage; the exact point depends on costs and prices |
| III: negative returns | Beyond maximum TP (over 10 workers) | MP negative; TP falls | No: removing workers would raise output |
Importance. It explains why short-run costs rise as output grows (unit 7), why a fixed area of farmland cannot feed an ever larger population with unchanged methods, and why producers look for better technology and more capital, which shift the whole TP curve upwards and postpone diminishing returns.
Worked example 2: using the equation
For : and .
(a) MP is greatest where : bags.
(b) AP is greatest where : . Check: ✔.
(c) TP is greatest where : bags.
So stage I runs from 0 to 7.5 workers, stage II from 7.5 to 10, and stage III beyond 10.
Warning
Diminishing returns is not negative returns. Diminishing returns means each extra worker adds less than the one before; total product is still rising. Only when MP is negative does TP fall. And the law is a short-run law: it needs a fixed factor. When all inputs grow together (the long run, lesson 4) the right idea is returns to scale.
Tip
"The newcomer pulls the average." If a new player scores more than the team's average, the average rises; if less, it falls. In the same way MP above AP pulls AP up, MP below AP pulls it down, and MP crosses AP at AP's peak.
Important
Discuss. Malthus expected diminishing returns on fixed land to keep most people near starvation. Using a TP diagram, show how fertiliser, irrigation or better seed shift the TP curve, and discuss whether Rwanda can rely on them to feed a growing population.
Khan Academy, "Total product, marginal product and average product" (about 7 minutes). Sal Khan uses an ice-cream factory to calculate the three measures; watch for the point where each extra worker starts to add less, and compare it with the maize schedule above.
Practice
Key points
Sources and credits
Written by Ganzaa: the text, the product diagrams (drawn to scale from ), the tables, the worked examples and the practice items. The maize and tea figures are illustrative.
This lesson adapts CC BY-SA material and is shared under CC BY-SA 4.0.
Quick check